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The Cardinals In First...How Long Can It Last?

The Cardinals are doing well. Really well. They're currently 10-4, tied for the best record in baseball, but, more relevantly, standing alone at the top of the Central Division.

They're not supposed to do well. It's a bit of a rebuilding year, trying out new guys, shifting people back and forth from the minor leagues, and letting a few guys back in recovering from their injuries. Most people into following the Cardinals are generally hoping to end the season as well, or maybe a few games better than last year, when we went 78-84. My own thought was that it'd be a successful season if they ended up 81-81, or .500 winning percentage.

But for now they're in first. It's fun to see, but it's just not likely to last. Jason Toon suggested we do a Geeklife pool on when the Cardinals will stop being in first place in their division. His pick is June 3rd, unless he wants to revise that in this thread. I'm actually even less optimistic, and I'll pick May 12th, the last game of a series against the Brewers, who I expect to then move into first.

I know most of you aren't as into baseball as I am, but what the hey, throw a date out that you think we'll no longer be leading the central division. Heck, you could even guess that we'll lead the division the whole way through and end up winning it if you're feeling particularly lucky.

Meanwhile, I went to a game last night and...it was...far...too...cold. Even thinking about it slowed down my typing just then. Here's a pic of the guy sitting next to us:

 

Published Wednesday, April 16, 2008 1:27 PM by davebug

Comments

 

davebug said:

I just got IM'd a May 4th vote, losing 1st to the Cubs, by user Sachmet.

April 16, 2008 4:26 PM
 

Prof. Hotpants said:

I think the Cards are going to win the division this year. Seriously. They're going to completely surprise everyone.

April 16, 2008 4:36 PM
 

Young Guy Maddin said:

I'm with the Professor. I think they're going to win the division and never give up first place. I made another bad bet earlier this evening when I bet my dad that, assuming he sticks with the team for the whole year, Izturis will finish the year with a higher batting average than Wainwright.

April 17, 2008 12:02 AM
 

DeManda Tension said:

I'm in for the pool, even though, as you well know, I don't really dig on the baseball. I just like gambling.  I will choose the date in between your selection and Jason's , which would be May 23 (or whichever date nearest that the Cards have a game. I'll rely on you schedule-keepers to track that for me.)

April 17, 2008 8:46 AM
 

Porkchop Jr. said:

Are we talking lose sole possession of first place? Regardless, I'm skeptical, so I'll undershoot Dave and go with $1.  No, wait, I mean May 2, the first game of the first Cubs series, to the Cubs. If we didn't have such a creampuff schedule between now and then I'd say sooner (hey we're only a game and a half up, that could vanish in as little as two days, so don't go callin' me no hater).  As the sabermatricians say: Sample sizes, people, sample sizes...

April 17, 2008 1:22 PM
 

matty fred said:

April 28.

April 18, 2008 6:07 AM
 

jasontoon said:

Wait, wait, wait! They could still get back into first place. I think the question should be "on what day will the Cardinals fall out of first place for good in 2008?", which we won't know the answer to until they're mathematically eliminated.

April 21, 2008 1:46 PM
 

davebug said:

Oops, I deleted my comments suggesting the contest was over. I like Jason's idea... On that front, I'll say we will be in first place for the last time on July 20th.

April 21, 2008 1:56 PM
 

jasontoon said:

I'm sticking with June 3.

April 21, 2008 2:15 PM
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